Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.027384 0.029371 0.031442 0.033764 0.036298 0.038982 0.042046
2025-06-15 0.023925 0.026728 0.029795 0.033415 0.037583 0.042250 0.047897
2025-06-22 0.021587 0.024856 0.028568 0.033122 0.038590 0.044984 0.053088
2025-06-29 0.019668 0.023191 0.027311 0.032525 0.039001 0.046851 0.057194
2025-07-06 0.018600 0.022394 0.026948 0.032872 0.040458 0.049958 0.062935
2025-07-13 0.017558 0.021521 0.026385 0.032867 0.041394 0.052385 0.067893
2025-07-20 0.016830 0.020971 0.026159 0.033230 0.042767 0.055404 0.073794
2025-07-27 0.015968 0.020183 0.025559 0.033033 0.043340 0.057335 0.078277
2025-08-03 0.015197 0.019461 0.024989 0.032815 0.043833 0.059142 0.082661
2025-08-10 0.014512 0.018809 0.024466 0.032612 0.044305 0.060908 0.087068
2025-08-17 0.013921 0.018250 0.024029 0.032488 0.044858 0.062792 0.091752
2025-08-24 0.013268 0.017570 0.023389 0.032028 0.044876 0.063861 0.095212
2025-08-31 0.012614 0.016865 0.022685 0.031447 0.044688 0.064618 0.098256
2025-09-07 0.012100 0.016333 0.022200 0.031156 0.044912 0.066007 0.102418
2025-09-14 0.011633 0.015847 0.021754 0.030894 0.045154 0.067420 0.106704
2025-09-21 0.011117 0.015266 0.021144 0.030347 0.044910 0.068024 0.109625
2025-09-28 0.010881 0.015083 0.021105 0.030666 0.046045 0.070926 0.116770
2025-10-05 0.010572 0.014777 0.020870 0.030662 0.046649 0.072972 0.122529
2025-10-12 0.010372 0.014623 0.020852 0.030995 0.047816 0.076029 0.130384
2025-10-19 0.010051 0.014275 0.020524 0.030814 0.048109 0.077583 0.135519
2025-10-26 0.009744 0.013937 0.020196 0.030614 0.048353 0.079055 0.140600
2025-11-02 0.009457 0.013619 0.019886 0.030427 0.048603 0.080545 0.145824
2025-11-09 0.009203 0.013341 0.019629 0.030313 0.048971 0.082261 0.151632